🌩️ State of the Cloud 2023: Navigating the Multiverse 🚀

Zayd Muhamed
4 min readMay 30, 2023

🎁 Market Wrap

The cloud economy has entered a new era of rapid transformation called the “multiverse,” where SaaS founders and investors face unprecedented challenges. However, amidst the turbulence, artificial intelligence (AI) advancements are reshaping the technology landscape and expanding the cloud economy. This article provides insights and recommendations for SaaS founders, highlighting the financing ecosystem, the cloud market landscape, efficiency benchmarks, and the dawn of the AI era.

🔍 Exploring the Cloud Multiverse: A Founders’ Guide

1️⃣ The Cloud Market Landscape: After a surge in cloud adoption and investment during the pandemic years, the cloud market experienced a normalization phase in 2022. Rising interest rates and macro uncertainties impacted cloud companies, leading to multiple compression and slower growth. Despite the challenges, the cloud model has consistently outperformed broader market indices, showcasing its resilience and attractiveness.

2️⃣ SaaS M&A and IPO Slowed to a Halt: In contrast to the IPO frenzy of 2021, SaaS IPOs declined in 2022. However, strategic acquisitions remained notable, demonstrating that best-in-class cloud companies can command valuation premiums even in tough economic conditions. VC funding also pulled back, emphasizing the need for capital efficiency and creating a challenging environment for founders.

3️⃣ Don’t Wait for the Next Bubble to Fundraise: With the days of “easy money” over, founders should not try to time the market but rather fundraise when capital is available. The article shares varied opinions on the ideal timeframe for fundraising, emphasizing the need to adapt to the evolving financing landscape.

4️⃣ Focusing on Fundability Benchmarks: To navigate the fundraising landscape, founders must focus on “fundability.” Key benchmarks include burn profile, unit economics, sales and marketing efficiency, net revenue retention, time to cash out, revenue growth, and logo retention. These benchmarks may vary depending on the stage and audience of the business but serve as guiding principles for successful fundraising.

5️⃣ So What Does This Mean for Centaur Count (SaaS businesses with $100M ARR)? The article introduces the concept of Centaur businesses, representing SaaS companies with $100 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR). While Centaur creation slowed in 2022 due to market conditions, 2023 will separate enduring businesses from the rest. Centaurs signify product-market fit, scalable go-to-market strategies, and a growing customer base.

6️⃣ Efficiency Insights for Cloud Founders: The paradigm shift from growth-at-all-costs to efficiency requires cloud leaders to balance growth and profitability. The valuation premium on cloud companies is now tightly coupled with efficiency scores. The article provides a heuristic to map growth and profitability ratios based on public market conditions and highlights the importance of optimal growth costs.

7️⃣ Prediction 1: SaaS Fights Inefficiency and Sprawl: As the market stabilizes, customers become more price-sensitive, prompting them to evaluate their software stack and rationalize spending. SaaS solutions that reduce inefficiency and optimize spending and procurement will be in high demand. The article suggests areas where cloud leaders can leverage software to drive efficiency and reduce excess.

8️⃣ What Are Cloud Investors Enthusiastic About in 2023? Despite the financial headwinds, cloud investors remain optimistic about backing the evolving cloud economy. Top categories of interest include tools and platforms for organizational efficiencies, supply chain software, and climate software. The emergence of climate software aligns with the green energy transition, supported by falling renewable energy prices, legislation, and growing consumer activism.

🔮 Conclusion: As the cloud economy enters the multiverse era, SaaS founders and investors must navigate a changing landscape and embrace the opportunities brought by artificial intelligence (AI). We conclude with some key takeaways and recommendations for SaaS founders:

1️⃣ Embrace Efficiency: In the current market environment, efficiency is paramount. Founders should focus on optimizing their business operations, including burn profile, unit economics, sales and marketing efficiency, and revenue growth. Efficient companies are more attractive to investors and better positioned for long-term success.

2️⃣ Fundraising Timing: Rather than waiting for the next funding bubble, founders should be proactive and raise capital when it is available. The ideal timeframe for fundraising may vary, but being adaptable and seizing opportunities is crucial. Fundraising should be aligned with the company’s growth trajectory and market conditions.

3️⃣ Centaur Aspirations: Building a Centaur business, with $100 million in ARR, represents a significant milestone. Founders should aim to achieve product-market fit, establish scalable go-to-market strategies, and focus on customer acquisition and retention. Centaurs stand out in the market and attract investor interest.

4️⃣ Balancing Growth and Profitability: Cloud leaders need to find the right balance between growth and profitability. Efficient growth is highly valued, and companies that can demonstrate sustainable growth while managing costs effectively are more likely to succeed in the market.

5️⃣ Driving Efficiency and Reducing Sprawl: Customers are becoming more price-sensitive and focused on optimizing their software stack. SaaS solutions that help reduce inefficiency, optimize spending, and streamline procurement will be in high demand. Cloud leaders should explore areas where their software can drive efficiency and deliver value to customers.

6️⃣ Capitalize on Market Opportunities: Cloud investors remain enthusiastic about backing the cloud economy. Founders should pay attention to emerging trends, such as tools and platforms for organizational efficiencies, supply chain software, and climate software. Aligning with market opportunities and addressing key challenges can enhance a company’s prospects.

The cloud multiverse era presents both challenges and opportunities for SaaS founders. By focusing on efficiency, optimizing their business operations, and capitalizing on market trends, founders can navigate this evolving landscape and position their companies for success in the AI-driven cloud economy.

#SaaSFounders #AIinSaaS #EfficiencyMatters #FundraisingTips #CentaurBusiness #GrowthVsProfitability #CloudLeaders #OptimizeYourStack #MarketOpportunities #CloudEconomy

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Zayd Muhamed

Early-Stage VC | SaaS 🦄 Deeptech | Geopolitics 📈 Macroeconomics